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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
12651
0xbd98…e83a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $975
tr/day 0.0
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $252
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/17/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 6d
bet $74
tr/day 1.4
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/86
draw 64%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $152
tr/day 0.9
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/92/62
draw 39%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
+$920 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
bet $1,250
tr/day 4.0
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/67/77
draw 30%
Kalshi 60%
active 7d
+$36K ·6🔓
ROI +6%
Net -11%
bet $146
tr/day 0.6
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 85%
active 14d
12657
0x2552…cf36
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $298
tr/day 60.0
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12658
0x0c0d…76be
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $286
tr/day 60.0
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all 82/82/82
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$171 ·1🔓
ROI +41%
Net +8%
bet $58
tr/day 1.7
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/94/91
draw 6%
Kalshi 14%
active 1d
bet $2,467
tr/day 2.8
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 1%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
12661
0xee8a…4fb2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $908
tr/day 1.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/77/67
draw 64%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $253
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 59%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $307
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/71/56
draw 5%
Kalshi 94%
active 14d
bet $178
tr/day 0.3
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/78/81
draw 88%
Kalshi 63%
active 12d
bet $297
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 14d
bet $170
tr/day 2.3
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 94/97/92
draw 76%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $178
tr/day 3.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
−$12K ·34🔓
ROI -3%
Net -16%
bet $466
tr/day 0.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $261
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 91%
Kalshi 96%
active 14d
bet $394
tr/day 0.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $202
tr/day 0.1
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 0%
Kalshi 88%
active 14d
bet $431
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 12%
Kalshi 86%
active 14d
bet $364
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 14d
bet $306
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 14d
bet $217
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 14d
12676
0xbd58…8fdc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $828
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 0%
Kalshi 91%
active 14d
bet $180
tr/day 0.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $245
tr/day 0.1
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 1%
Kalshi 74%
active 14d
bet $55
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 2%
Kalshi 81%
active 14d
bet $176
tr/day 0.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
12681
0x5fa3…5778
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $538
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 1%
Kalshi 88%
active 14d
bet $172
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 12%
Kalshi 83%
active 14d
bet $293
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 91%
Kalshi 96%
active 14d
bet $395
tr/day 0.1
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 60%
Kalshi 95%
active 14d
bet $140
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 2%
Kalshi 96%
active 14d
bet $185
tr/day 1.4
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 54/58/55
draw 62%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 7.9
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 56/45/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $119
tr/day 0.1
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 17%
Kalshi 58%
active 14d
bet $176
tr/day 0.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
−$2K ·2🔓
ROI -17%
Net -25%
bet $121
tr/day 2.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 36/52/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $230
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/67/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
12692
0x36dc…531b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $50
tr/day 17.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 52/49/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$345 ·1🔓
ROI +2%
Net -15%
bet $102
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $144
tr/day 2.3
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 52/54/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
+$294 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $99
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $110
tr/day 0.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 24%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $107
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $200
tr/day 0.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 52%
Kalshi 58%
active 14d
bet $116
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $124
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
#12651
negative
politics
#12652
negative
world
#12653
negative
weather
#12654
negative
other
#12655
negative
other
#12656
negative
weather
#12657
crypto
#12658
thin data
crypto
#12659
fragile wins
other
#12660
negative
weather
#12661
negative
other
#12662
negative
world
#12663
negative
crypto
#12664
negative
other
#12665
negative
crypto
#12666
negative
weather
#12667
negative
crypto
#12668
negative
crypto
#12669
negative
crypto
#12670
negative
crypto
#12671
negative
crypto
#12672
negative
crypto
#12673
negative
sports
#12674
negative
crypto
#12675
negative
crypto
#12676
negative
crypto
#12677
negative
crypto
#12678
negative
sports
#12679
negative
crypto
#12680
negative
crypto
#12681
negative
crypto
#12682
negative
crypto
#12683
negative
crypto
#12684
negative
crypto
#12685
negative
crypto
#12686
negative
sports
#12687
negative
sports
#12688
negative
other
#12689
negative
sports
#12690
negative
sports
#12691
negative
sports
#12692
negative
sports
#12693
negative
crypto
#12694
negative
sports
#12695
negative
crypto
#12696
negative
crypto
#12697
negative
crypto
#12698
negative
other
#12699
negative
crypto
#12700
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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