Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0x0000…348e
crypto · 285 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$185 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$186 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$186
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses163 / 120
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions2
Markets (closed)283 / 285
History coverage25d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 283 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$39
14 days−$178
30 days−$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Tomas Etcheverry 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Tyler: Hayato Matsuoka vs Henry Searle Hayato Matsuoka 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan Fajing Sun 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone Cameron Norrie 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 0.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Nuria Brancaccio vs Kaitlin Quevedo Nuria Brancaccio 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$27
sports 39% −$160
other 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Lanlana Tararudee 31¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 54m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 31¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -10.2% -18.7% 64% 56% -16.3%
≤30d 283 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 51% -26.3%
≤90d 283 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 51% -26.3%
all 283 -6.8% -15.7% 58% 51% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 51% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 39% -33.3%
15% -31.1% 25% -39.8%
20% -37.9% 16% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.85 · official $13.91 (match) · 692 history records