Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:54:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x0009…5497 sports 1197 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3,148 (+5%) realized +$3,701 · open −$553
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%542W / 614L
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$53per market
Trades / day187.2pace
Fees−$880est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$1,604now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 90% +$12,282
other 10% +$218
crypto 0% +$30
world 0% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 666 -17.7% -25.6% 39% 38% +7.1%
≤30d 1156 +1.2% -8.4% 47% 46% +9.4%
≤90d 1156 +1.2% -8.4% 47% 46% +9.4%
all 1156 +1.2% -8.4% 47% 46% +9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover187.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 46% +9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 44% -1.0%
15% -25.2% 39% -10.6%
20% -32.5% 28% -19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +21% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +27% → late -24% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$50 vs −$26 · ×1.9 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.68 per $1 lost it wins $1.68
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$1,604
Realized+$3,701
Unrealized−$553
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses542 / 614
Est. fees paid−$880
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1156 / 1197
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$53
Trades / day187.2
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 19 History 1156 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Ystad: Valentina Steiner vs Eva Bennemann Valentina Steiner 61¢ 100¢ $197 $324 +$127 (+64%)
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai Diae El Jardi 67¢ 100¢ $172 $255 +$84 (+49%)
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 51¢ 100¢ $125 $244 +$118 (+94%)
Yulia Starodubtseva vs. Emma Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 45¢ 100¢ $52 $115 +$63 (+121%)
ITF Ystad: Linea Bajraliu vs Vilma Krebs Hyllested Vilma Krebs Hyllested 44¢ 33¢ $117 $88 −$29 (-25%)
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova Katerina Siniakova 16¢ 6¢ $166 $67 −$99 (-60%)
Set Handicap: Marcinko (-1.5) vs Ito (+1.5) Ito 47¢ 100¢ $25 $53 +$28 (+113%)
ITF Blois: Amandine Hesse vs Anastasiia Firman Amandine Hesse 70¢ 99¢ $35 $49 +$15 (+42%)
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro Emma Navarro 58¢ 62¢ $24 $26 +$2 (+8%)
Set Handicap: Teichmann (-1.5) vs Palicova (+1.5) Palicova 41¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ 63¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Barbora Palicova vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 31¢ 74¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+139%)
ITF Blois: Lola Radivojevic vs Francesca Curmi Lola Radivojevic 72¢ 42¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-41%)
ITF Ystad: Valentina Steiner vs Eva Bennemann Eva Bennemann 53¢ 0¢ $151 $1 −$149 (-99%)
ITF Mohammedia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Luna Vujovic Yasmine Kabbaj 41¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai Zeel Desai 26¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 28¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Brescia: Julia Grabher vs Anastasiia Sobolieva Julia Grabher 41¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) Vekic 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Sobolieva (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5) Sobolieva 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Donna Vekic 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 475 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1 $0 +59%
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-31? Jun 17 $0 $0 +354%
O'Higgins FC vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $0 $0 +270%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Bol: Miriam Bulgaru vs Iva Primorac Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Pridankina vs Oliynykova Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Club Guabirá: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Volynets Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Sh Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Mirra Andreeva vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-23? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Bol: Lea Boskovic vs Gabriela Ce Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
CD Cobresal vs. CD Ñublense: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Draw at halftime? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 62¢ $2 3m
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova BUY Katerina Siniakova 21¢ $22 9m
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova BUY Katerina Siniakova 16¢ $97 12m
ITF Blois: Lola Radivojevic vs Francesca Curmi BUY Lola Radivojevic 72¢ $4 13m
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova BUY Katerina Siniakova 15¢ $51 20m
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Zeel Desai 58¢ $37 27m
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 58¢ $19 43m
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 54¢ $3 49m
Yulia Starodubtseva vs. Emma Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 45¢ $53 1h
ITF Ystad: Linea Bajraliu vs Vilma Krebs Hyllested BUY Vilma Krebs Hyllested 44¢ $119 1h
Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs Buse BUY Buse 61¢ $14 1h
Set 1 Winner: Ram/Salisbury vs Arevalo/Pavic BUY Ram/Salisbury 47¢ $10 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Zeel Desai 43¢ $1 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Luna Vujovic BUY Yasmine Kabbaj 41¢ $44 1h
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Ram/Salisbury vs Arevalo/Pavic BUY Ram/Salisbury 35¢ $10 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Luna Vujovic BUY Yasmine Kabbaj 41¢ $134 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Zeel Desai 26¢ $12 1h
Brescia: Julia Grabher vs Anastasiia Sobolieva BUY Julia Grabher 41¢ $24 1h
Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs Buse BUY Buse 22¢ $1 1h
ITF Ystad: Valentina Steiner vs Eva Bennemann BUY Eva Bennemann 55¢ $102 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Zeel Desai 17¢ $36 1h
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Ram/Salisbury vs Arevalo/Pavic BUY Ram/Salisbury 43¢ $4 1h
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Diae El Jardi 68¢ $38 2h
ITF Ystad: Valentina Steiner vs Eva Bennemann BUY Eva Bennemann 49¢ $48 2h
ITF Mohammedia: Diae El Jardi vs Zeel Desai BUY Diae El Jardi 67¢ $135 2h
Set Handicap: Sobolieva (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5) BUY Sobolieva 18¢ $1 2h
Barbora Palicova vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 31¢ $2 2h
Set 1 Winner: Palicova vs Teichmann BUY Palicova 31¢ $2 2h
Set Handicap: Teichmann (-1.5) vs Palicova (+1.5) BUY Palicova 41¢ $5 2h
ITF Haskovo: Valeriya Strakhova vs Elena Korokozidi BUY Valeriya Strakhova 37¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,604.15 · official $1,560.08 · 3500 history records