Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T21:33:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
00 0x0010…9ee3 sports 132 markets active 1h ago coverage 114d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$604 (+5%) realized +$604 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate56%74W / 58L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown15%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day2.1pace
Fees−$58est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$273
14 days+$532
30 days+$782
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 76% +$778
crypto 22% −$39
other 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +73.4% +56.9% 69% 56% -2.1%
≤30d 86 +8.7% -1.7% 63% 52% -1.7%
≤90d 92 +8.4% -1.9% 64% 54% -1.6%
all 132 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 44% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 44% -3.5%
10% -19.1% 34% -12.7%
15% -27.0% 27% -21.1%
20% -34.1% 15% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +7% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -21% → late +18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$14 · ×1.38 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.08 per $1 lost it wins $2.08
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

114d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$604
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses74 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 132
History coverage114d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 132 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $1,399 +$184 +13%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $504 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $11 −$2 -14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $52 +$12 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $101 +$47 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 18 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $51 +$63 +123%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $901 +$17 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $101 +$80 +79%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $101 +$28 +28%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $801 +$23 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$14 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$57 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$16 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$9 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$43 +21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$16 +31%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $52 +$58 +112%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$13 +62%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$8 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $621 +$23 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$10 +50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $601 +$30 +5%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$19 +48%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $20 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 +$7 +36%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $20 +$9 +43%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $20 +$9 +45%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $20 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $41 +$29 +71%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $402 +$79 +20%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $20 +$40 +194%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta Jun 03 $1 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 03 $303 +$145 +48%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $94 −$93 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $1,124 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 88¢ $994 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 54¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 60¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 60¢ $300 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 60¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 57¢ $304 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 63¢ $144 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $102 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 74¢ $263 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 74¢ $244 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 73¢ $504 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 64¢ $101 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 4¢ $1 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL 9z 17¢ $9 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 18¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 4¢ $1 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 42¢ $8 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 39¢ $55 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 31¢ $51 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 92¢ $148 30h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 62¢ $101 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $30 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $114 4d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 44¢ $51 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $917 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 98¢ $901 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 287 history records