trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +18.9% | +7.5% | 40% | 40% | -20.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 29% | 29% | -35.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -15.4% | -23.4% | 27% | 27% | -35.3% |
| all | 11 | -15.4% | -23.4% | 27% | 27% | -35.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.4% | 27% | -35.3% |
| 10% | -30.8% | 27% | -41.5% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 27% | -47.1% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 18% | -52.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 83¢ | 98¢ | $131 | $155 | +$24 (+18%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 9¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$58 | +188% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$42 | +206% |
| Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $45 | −$33 | -74% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 10 | $33 | +$12 | +38% |
| Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritz | Mar 22 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Mar 22 | $100 | −$26 | -26% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Mar 22 | $100 | $0 | -0% |