trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +155.5% | +131.1% | 75% | 75% | +34.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +127.1% | +105.5% | 67% | 67% | +31.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +105.2% | +85.6% | 64% | 64% | +31.9% |
| all | 67 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 43% | 43% | +4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 43% | +4.1% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 40% | -5.8% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 36% | -14.9% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 31% | -23.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $742 | $735 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $867 | +$433 | +50% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $455 | +$55 | +12% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $427 | +$73 | +17% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $23 | +$227 | +982% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 15 | $367 | −$12 | -3% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $257 | +$443 | +172% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $28 | +$32 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 14 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Apr 14 | $52 | +$58 | +113% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Mar 09 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Feb 10 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 18 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Patriots | Jan 18 | $46 | +$14 | +32% |
| Suns vs. Heat | Jan 18 | $40 | +$40 | +100% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Dec 15 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | Nov 17 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 10 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 10 | $54 | +$96 | +178% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | Nov 03 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning | Oct 23 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Rangers | Oct 23 | $53 | +$67 | +127% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Oct 13 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers | Oct 07 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Sep 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | Sep 30 | $5 | +$6 | +138% |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Sep 25 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Ravens | Sep 22 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Guardians vs. Tigers | Sep 16 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Pirates | Sep 16 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Bears | Sep 08 | $113 | −$113 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | Sep 04 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Appalachian State vs. Charlotte | Aug 29 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Boise State vs. South Florida | Aug 29 | $68 | +$132 | +194% |
| Bengals vs. Commanders | Aug 18 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Aug 18 | $66 | +$74 | +113% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Aug 11 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Marlins | Aug 04 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Aug 04 | $19 | +$16 | +82% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Aug 04 | $25 | +$20 | +79% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Jul 21 | $26 | +$9 | +33% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Jul 16 | $10 | +$14 | +138% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jul 16 | $25 | +$7 | +28% |
| Kings vs. Cavaliers | Jul 16 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jul 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Jul 14 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Nationals | Jul 04 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Orioles | Jun 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY Yes | 53¢ | $752 | 1h |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 66¢ | $867 | 2d |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY Yes | 55¢ | $56 | 2d |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 89¢ | $455 | 2d |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 85¢ | $427 | 3d |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 9¢ | $23 | 3d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 51¢ | $367 | 4d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 36¢ | $257 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 46¢ | $47 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 46¢ | $28 | 10d |
| Heat vs. Hornets | BUY Heat | 33¢ | $20 | 64d |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | BUY 76ers | 15¢ | $9 | 100d |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | BUY Nets | 47¢ | $52 | 100d |
| Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | BUY Perricard | 36¢ | $36 | 127d |
| Rams vs. Bears | BUY Bears | 36¢ | $25 | 150d |
| Suns vs. Heat | BUY Heat | 50¢ | $40 | 155d |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY Celtics | 55¢ | $38 | 184d |
| Giants vs. Patriots | BUY Patriots | 76¢ | $46 | 198d |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | BUY Raiders | 37¢ | $37 | 212d |
| Eagles vs. Packers | BUY Packers | 49¢ | $49 | 219d |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 34¢ | $34 | 226d |
| Magic vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 36¢ | $54 | 233d |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning | BUY Lightning | 73¢ | $73 | 237d |
| Wild vs. Rangers | BUY Wild | 44¢ | $53 | 240d |
| Jets vs. Islanders | BUY Islanders | 48¢ | $43 | 247d |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers | BUY Blackhawks | 28¢ | $56 | 253d |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | BUY Guardians | 40¢ | $10 | 260d |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | BUY Steelers | 42¢ | $5 | 262d |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | BUY Cardinals | 47¢ | $38 | 266d |
| Lions vs. Ravens | BUY Ravens | 69¢ | $34 | 268d |