Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x003f…abe1
crypto · 141 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$148 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$119 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$119
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses112 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)139 / 141
History coverage2d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day82.1
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$119
14 days+$119
30 days+$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $37 $40 +$2 (+6%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 96¢ 92¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 14 $3 $0 -7%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 14 $27 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$118
sports 5% +$1
weather 1% +$2
other 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 96¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 +1.3% -8.3% 81% 49% -5.6%
≤30d 139 +1.3% -8.3% 81% 49% -5.6%
≤90d 139 +1.3% -8.3% 81% 49% -5.6%
all 139 +1.3% -8.3% 81% 49% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 49% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 22% -14.6%
15% -25.1% 4% -22.8%
20% -32.4% 1% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.75 · official $58.75 (match) · 303 history records