Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x004c…ab0c
crypto · 797 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$472 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$515 · open −$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$140
Realized+$515
Unrealized−$43
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses743 / 53
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)796 / 797
History coverage17d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day57.6
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 796 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$230
7 days+$219
14 days+$470
30 days+$514
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 38¢ $81 $39 −$43 (-52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $72 +$29 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $84 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$33
sports 19% +$404
other 1% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 +1.5% -8.1% 93% 16% -7.5%
≤30d 796 +0.6% -9.0% 93% 14% -7.6%
≤90d 796 +0.6% -9.0% 93% 14% -7.6%
all 796 +0.6% -9.0% 93% 14% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 14% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 7% -16.4%
15% -25.6% 4% -24.5%
20% -32.9% 2% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.72 · official $139.72 (match) · 3500 history records