Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:46:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0056…d0ec
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$241 +57%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$188 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses13 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)41 / 41
History coverage67d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$198
7 days+$198
14 days+$198
30 days+$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$221 +837%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$55 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $54 +$85 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$218
other 5% −$20
world 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -23.6% -30.8% 32% 30% +39.5%
≤30d 40 -23.6% -30.8% 32% 30% +39.5%
≤90d 41 -25.4% -32.5% 32% 29% +35.8%
all 41 -25.4% -32.5% 32% 29% +35.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.5% 29% +35.8%
10% -39.0% 24% +22.8%
15% -44.9% 22% +10.9%
20% -50.3% 20% +0.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 122 history records