trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +18.3% | +7.0% | 53% | 47% | +0.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 48% | 38% | -58.3% |
| all | 21 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 48% | 38% | -58.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 38% | -58.3% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 29% | -62.3% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 29% | -65.9% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 24% | -69.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $26 | $27 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+22%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 83¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-23%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+37%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-78%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 62¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$3 | +289% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $5 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $3 | +$2 | +75% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $1 | +$2 | +164% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$5 | +440% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 11 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | May 05 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam | May 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most | May 05 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 202 | May 05 | $10 | $0 | +2% |