Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:15:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0066…15a3
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,246 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$478 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$478
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses19 / 44
Open positions1
Markets (closed)63 / 64
History coverage63d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No 0¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$31 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 18 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 18 $29 −$27 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 13 $386 −$173 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 12 $30 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 12 $43 −$41 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 12 $97 +$30 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 12 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 12 $53 +$60 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 12 $105 +$204 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 12 $104 +$193 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 18 $30 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 18 $20 −$19 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 18 $100 −$94 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 18 $64 −$60 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 18 $46 +$168 +366%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 18 $121 −$113 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Apr 18 $30 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Apr 18 $20 +$97 +483%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 15 $109 −$102 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 15 $200 −$186 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 15 $107 −$100 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 15 $20 +$349 +1745%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Apr 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Apr 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 15 $80 −$75 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 15 $7 −$6 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 15 $68 −$63 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 15 $24 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 15 $30 +$85 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 15 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Apr 12 $31 +$47 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$305
other 21% −$8
politics 10% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $16 9m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $16 18m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $24 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $695 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $7 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $7 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $7 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $7 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 31d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $6 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $13 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $13 31d
Will Trump visit China by May 15? BUY No 0¢ $33 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $30 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $14 32d
Will Trump visit China by May 15? SELL No 0¢ $43 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $43 32d
Will Trump visit China by May 15? SELL No 0¢ $43 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $98 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $48 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $18 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -7.9% -16.7% 50% 50% -34.4%
≤30d 6 -38.6% -44.4% 33% 33% -54.4%
≤90d 63 +9.2% -1.2% 30% 29% -21.5%
all 63 +9.2% -1.2% 30% 29% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.2% 29% -21.5%
10% -10.7% 29% -29.0%
15% -19.3% 25% -35.9%
20% -27.2% 24% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.93 · official $7.93 (match) · 166 history records