Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0079…54d8
crypto · 315 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses152 / 161
Open positions2
Markets (closed)313 / 315
History coverage1d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day3147.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 84¢ 81¢ $59 $58 −$2 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 54¢ 78¢ $26 $37 +$11 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 15¢ 18¢ $13 $15 +$3 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 68¢ 22¢ $16 $5 −$11 (-67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $243 −$13 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$21 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $226 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $68 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $241 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$27 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $138 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $213 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$23 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 +0.6% -9.0% 49% 15% -9.6%
≤30d 313 +0.6% -9.0% 49% 15% -9.6%
≤90d 313 +0.6% -9.0% 49% 15% -9.6%
all 313 +0.6% -9.0% 49% 15% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 15% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 6% -18.2%
15% -25.6% 5% -26.1%
20% -32.9% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.43 · official $105.90 · 3500 history records