Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x007b…c181
crypto · 427 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,951 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,950 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$4,950
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses191 / 678
Open positions6
Markets (closed)869 / 427
History coverage9d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day373.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 869 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,935
7 days−$4,574
14 days−$4,950
30 days−$4,950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 46¢ 54¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 29¢ 8¢ $20 $6 −$14 (-71%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 54¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 0¢ 54¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 78¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+17%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 75¢ 58¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 53¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+204%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -101%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$35 -267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$16 -273%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $86 −$78 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$25 -425%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -102%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,133
culture 1% −$19
other 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 790 -58.7% -62.7% 20% 15% -33.3%
≤30d 869 -53.3% -57.7% 22% 17% -28.5%
≤90d 869 -53.3% -57.7% 22% 17% -28.5%
all 869 -53.3% -57.7% 22% 17% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover373.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.7% 17% -28.5%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 13% -35.3%
15% -65.5% 10% -41.6%
20% -68.9% 8% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.98 · official $41.23 · 3500 history records