Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:09:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00ab…26ce crypto 5 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$19 (+16%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate80%4W / 1L
Drawdown82%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day106.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -3.2% -12.5% 80% 40% -0.8%
≤30d 5 -3.2% -12.5% 80% 40% -0.8%
≤90d 5 -3.2% -12.5% 80% 40% -0.8%
all 5 -3.2% -12.5% 80% 40% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 40% -0.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 20% -10.3%
15% -28.5% 0% -19.0%
20% -35.5% 0% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 56% · top 2 88% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% too few recent
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +10% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
20.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$9 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.22 per $1 lost it wins $2.22
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day106.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 109 history records