Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T10:00:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00b3…0991 crypto 631 markets active 2h ago coverage 66d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 65d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,695 (-20%) realized −$2,695 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%611W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 66d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$184
other 7% +$16
finance 6% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -0.7% -10.1% 98% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 300 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 630 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.6%
all 630 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 0% -10.6%
10% -19.1% 0% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.1% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$22 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,695
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses611 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)630 / 631
History coverage66d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 630 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $17 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $7 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? Jun 19 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $12 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $7 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 16h
Solana Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 99¢ $50 18h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? BUY No 98¢ $29 18h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $30 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 94¢ $38 2d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $49 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records