Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T00:04:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00be…06ca crypto 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$13 (-6%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -49% what you keep after slip
Net edge-49%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate25%1W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day22.0pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 77% −$55
other 23% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-40.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% -37.1%
≤30d 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% -37.1%
≤90d 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% -37.1%
all 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% -37.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.1% 25% -37.1%
10% ← realistic here -45.8% 25% -43.1%
15% -51.1% 0% -48.6%
20% -55.9% 0% -53.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -30% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -34% · $-wt -30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$22 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $72 −$39 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $51 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 27 $36 +$10 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
England leading at halftime? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? BUY 67¢ $54 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records