trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -28.1% | -35.0% | 0% | 0% | -35.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -23.9% | -31.1% | 0% | 0% | -25.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -17.6% | -25.4% | 25% | 0% | -19.9% |
| all | 17 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 82% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 b | Jun 27 | $36 | −$10 | -28% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $36 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | May 18 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25? | Feb 26 | $1,250 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 24? | Feb 25 | $1,249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22? | Feb 23 | $1,248 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 21? | Feb 22 | $1,246 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of t | Feb 21 | $1,245 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on February 19? | Feb 20 | $1,244 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 17? | Feb 18 | $1,243 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 15? | Feb 16 | $1,240 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 14 | Feb 15 | $1,239 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $7.00? | Feb 14 | $1,238 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 12? | Feb 13 | $1,238 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 10? | Feb 11 | $1,235 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8? | Feb 09 | $1,233 | +$1 | +0% |