trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -98.0% | -98.2% | 0% | 0% | -98.2% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -98.0% | -98.2% | 0% | 0% | -98.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -48.6% | -53.5% | 33% | 22% | -53.4% |
| all | 14 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 36% | 29% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.0% | 29% | +5.5% |
| 10% | -37.6% | 29% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -43.6% | 29% | -13.8% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 21% | -22.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 51¢ | 34¢ | $153 | $100 | −$53 (-34%) |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $424 | $1 | −$423 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $362 | −$355 | -98% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 01 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 | Apr 21 | $1,237 | +$130 | +10% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | Apr 14 | $1,230 | −$905 | -74% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 14 | $585 | +$318 | +54% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | Apr 12 | $526 | −$372 | -71% |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the | Apr 12 | $498 | −$498 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Apr 12 | $1,946 | −$1,946 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $724 | +$285 | +39% |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Dec 07 | $4,637 | +$3,365 | +73% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Dec 07 | $1,768 | −$134 | -8% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | May 28 | $2,208 | −$362 | -16% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | May 19 | $3,271 | +$4,326 | +132% |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | May 18 | $500 | −$378 | -76% |