Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T16:11:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00f5…1100 crypto 71 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$21 (-1%) realized −$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate85%60W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day141.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -7.6% -16.4% 85% 4% -14.2%
≤30d 71 -7.6% -16.4% 85% 4% -14.2%
≤90d 71 -7.6% -16.4% 85% 4% -14.2%
all 71 -7.6% -16.4% 85% 4% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover141.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 4% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 1% -22.4%
15% -31.7% 0% -29.9%
20% -38.4% 0% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.38 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses60 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day141.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 21 $25 −$8 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 21 $25 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 21 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 21 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 −$1 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 21 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $18 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $16 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 21 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $17 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $23 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $51 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 242 history records