Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00ff…da8b
crypto · 699 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses389 / 310
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 699
Avg bet$7
Trades / day22.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 699 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days+$56
14 days−$71
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$76
other 10% −$2
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 +10.0% -0.5% 58% 56% -7.0%
≤30d 650 +0.4% -9.2% 54% 53% -10.9%
≤90d 699 +1.1% -8.5% 56% 53% -10.9%
all 699 +1.1% -8.5% 56% 53% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 53% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 51% -19.5%
15% -25.3% 50% -27.2%
20% -32.6% 47% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.29 · official $0.00 (match) · 2301 history records