Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:02:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x0100…a2df crypto 44 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (336 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate50%22W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day336.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$17
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (336 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -10.9% -19.4% 50% 27% -11.8%
≤30d 44 -10.9% -19.4% 50% 27% -11.8%
≤90d 44 -10.9% -19.4% 50% 27% -11.8%
all 44 -10.9% -19.4% 50% 27% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover336.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 27% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 11% -20.2%
15% -34.2% 5% -27.9%
20% -40.6% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses22 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day336.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 44 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $151 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$5 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$5 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$12 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $35 −$2 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 67¢ $1 5d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $19 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 372 history records