Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T04:08:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x0100…a303 crypto 95 markets active 1h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (315 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$11,765 (+226%) realized +$11,765 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -89% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -91% what you keep after slip
Net edge-91%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate2%11W / 506L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day314.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 11d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (315 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-89.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 490 -93.5% -94.1% 1% 1% -95.4%
≤30d 517 -88.8% -89.9% 2% 2% -93.2%
≤90d 517 -88.8% -89.9% 2% 2% -93.2%
all 517 -88.8% -89.9% 2% 2% -93.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover314.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -89.9% 2% -93.2%
10% ← realistic here -90.8% 2% -93.8%
15% -91.7% 1% -94.4%
20% -92.5% 1% -95.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 68% · top 2 89% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -94% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -89% · $-wt -94% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -84% → late -93% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
35.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$151 vs −$83 · ×1.83 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.04 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,765
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses11 / 506
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)517 / 95
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$55
Trades / day314.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 517 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? Jun 18 $365 −$365 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$24 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $16 −$21 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $651 −$651 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$2 +320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$21 -4840%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $405 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $208 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records