Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:15:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x010d…3d7c crypto 44 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$48 (+4%) realized +$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate61%27W / 17L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day91.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$70
other 4% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -9.0% -17.7% 61% 55% -14.6%
≤30d 44 -9.0% -17.7% 61% 55% -14.6%
≤90d 44 -9.0% -17.7% 61% 55% -14.6%
all 44 -9.0% -17.7% 61% 55% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 55% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 32% -22.8%
15% -32.8% 11% -30.2%
20% -39.4% 5% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$14 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses27 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 44 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$2 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $28 −$13 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$5 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$4 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$22 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $41 −$40 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $41 +$12 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $41 +$6 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$8 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $82 −$11 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $41 −$28 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $41 −$40 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$10 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$10 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $61 +$18 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$7 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$9 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$7 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$15 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$22 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$18 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$12 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$10 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$5 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$6 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$3 +40%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$19 -74%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$4 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$4 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $19 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $8 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $9 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $31 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $53 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $41 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $26 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $21 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $41 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $41 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $41 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $41 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 96 history records