Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x0111…2f29 crypto 120 markets active 22h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (184 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$63 (-1%) realized −$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate62%75W / 45L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$56per market
Trades / day183.6pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$136
other 3% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (184 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +4.9% -5.1% 62% 46% -12.4%
≤30d 120 +4.9% -5.1% 62% 46% -12.4%
≤90d 120 +4.9% -5.1% 62% 46% -12.4%
all 120 +4.9% -5.1% 62% 46% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 46% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 33% -20.8%
15% -22.5% 26% -28.4%
20% -30.1% 21% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$30 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses75 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage1d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day183.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 120 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $24 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $13 +$11 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $46 −$43 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $45 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $76 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $34 +$16 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $46 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$59 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$2 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $116 +$25 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $121 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $111 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $119 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $130 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 19 $111 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $111 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $112 +$23 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$25 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $112 +$45 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $120 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $301 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $203 +$46 +23%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $202 −$81 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$72 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $16 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $17 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 308 history records