trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 86% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 90% | 10% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 90% | 5% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 5% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8,501 | $8,497 | −$4 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Jun 17 | $8,524 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 2 | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official ca | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on April 21? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Apr 20 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Apr 20 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Feb 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 06 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? | Feb 06 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28? | Dec 28 | $7,474 | +$10 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 15-21? | Dec 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 21? | Dec 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |