Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:51:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0114…7932
crypto · 1280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses433 / 846
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1279 / 1280
History coverage36d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days+$179
14 days+$86
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$15 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$17 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 580 +7.4% -2.8% 35% 35% -2.4%
≤30d 1204 +4.4% -5.5% 34% 33% -8.7%
≤90d 1279 +3.5% -6.4% 34% 33% -10.2%
all 1279 +3.5% -6.4% 34% 33% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 33% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 32% -18.8%
15% -23.5% 31% -26.7%
20% -31.0% 31% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.51 (match) · 3384 history records