trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 11 | $680 | +$16 | +2% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $2,357 | −$2,093 | -89% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Caro | Jun 10 | $558 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prim | Jun 10 | $1,638 | −$1,541 | -94% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 10 | $206 | +$698 | +339% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $728 | −$417 | -57% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $483 | +$81 | +17% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jun 09 | $1 | +$2 | +127% |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 09 | $1 | +$191 | +34367% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 09 | $3,104 | +$154 | +5% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $8,783 | +$2,243 | +26% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $1,929 | +$2,204 | +114% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An | Jun 09 | $1,589 | +$402 | +25% |
| Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 09 | $3,130 | −$912 | -29% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $494 | +$306 | +62% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +87.5% | +69.6% | 52% | 38% | -5.4% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +87.5% | +69.6% | 52% | 38% | -5.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +87.5% | +69.6% | 52% | 38% | -5.4% |
| all | 21 | +87.5% | +69.6% | 52% | 38% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +69.6% | 38% | -5.4% |
| 10% | +53.4% | 33% | -14.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +38.6% | 24% | -22.7% |
| 20% | +25.0% | 24% | -30.3% |