Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:12:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x012f…6d43
crypto · 467 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,410 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized+$3,410
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses227 / 239
Est. fees paid−$50
Open positions1
Markets (closed)466 / 467
History coverage9d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day355.9
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,559
7 days+$3,148
14 days+$3,410
30 days+$3,410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 65¢ 46¢ $192 $134 −$57 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $196 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $195 −$193 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$99 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$553 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $192 +$98 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$144 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$200 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $197 −$191 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $197 +$196 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $195 +$78 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $192 +$99 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$98 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $199 −$193 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $192 +$133 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$163 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$82 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $384 −$80 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$60 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$42 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $197 +$313 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $382 −$83 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $193 −$191 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $196 −$191 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $195 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$98 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $195 +$78 +40%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $40 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$85 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$112 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $199 +$194 +98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $40 −$14 -35%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $20 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$176 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $199 +$194 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$200 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $197 +$112 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $196 −$192 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $213 +$236 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $384 −$28 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $176 +$161 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $394 −$69 -18%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $40 −$6 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$3,267
sports 8% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $196 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $19 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $27 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $19 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $55 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 +3.5% -6.4% 48% 45% -2.6%
≤30d 466 +4.2% -5.8% 49% 46% -2.5%
≤90d 466 +4.2% -5.8% 49% 46% -2.5%
all 466 +4.2% -5.8% 49% 46% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover355.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 46% -2.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 43% -11.8%
15% -23.0% 39% -20.4%
20% -30.6% 31% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.10 · official $166.52 · 3500 history records