trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 31% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 31% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 50% | 4% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.5% | 4% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -14.5% | 4% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -22.8% | 4% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 4% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 27 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $125 | +$2 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $79 | −$4 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 24 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 23 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 21 | $46 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 20 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 20 | $56 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 19 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Arkansas win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 29 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 29 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| 2025 March hottest on record? | Mar 27 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 26 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 25 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament? | Mar 21 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Mar 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Towson vs. Elon | Mar 03 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |