Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:23:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x015d…fd05
other · 135 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses18 / 117
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage118d
Avg bet$780
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$10
14 days−$24
30 days−$838
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $2,907 −$4 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1,998 −$2 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $1,654 −$2 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $1,672 −$2 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $1,646 −$3 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $1,171 −$2 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $1,594 −$2 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $6,141 −$7 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? Jun 04 $707 +$1 +0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 31 $913 −$2 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $1,167 −$1 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $846 −$1 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 28 $1,173 −$2 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $2,442 −$3 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 24 $765 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $3,431 −$4 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $1,307 −$2 -0%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? May 21 $800 −$800 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09? May 13 $992 +$1,315 +133%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $817 −$1 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $1,069 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $2,053 −$2 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 27 $1,195 −$1 -0%
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Cont Apr 22 $260 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $363 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? Apr 21 $287 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 20 $2,485 −$1 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $1,080 −$1 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 18 $1,522 −$2 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $1,034 −$1 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $1,341 −$1 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $1,947 −$3 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $1,030 −$1 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $2,390 −$2 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $426 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $1,193 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $487 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $376 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $473 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 12 $473 $0 -0%
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 11 $419 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $820 −$1 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $566 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 07 $486 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 07 $455 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 05 $316 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $632 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 03 $833 −$1 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 03 $379 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 02 $359 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$228
politics 33% −$37
sports 13% −$255
economics 3% −$4
world 2% −$4
crypto 1% −$11
culture 1% −$2
tech 0% $0
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,657 25m
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,659 1h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,682 1h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,684 4h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,651 16h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,654 21h
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,670 6d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,672 6d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,643 7d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,646 7d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,169 7d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,171 7d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,246 7d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,248 8d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,283 8d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,285 8d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $1,287 9d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,289 9d
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $912 13d
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $913 13d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,166 15d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,167 15d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $844 15d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $846 16d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,171 16d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,173 16d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $917 17d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $918 17d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $763 20d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $765 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 18 -5.7% -14.7% 6% 0% -11.9%
≤90d 106 -10.6% -19.1% 10% 8% -9.8%
all 135 -5.3% -14.3% 13% 11% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 11% -9.6%
10% -22.5% 11% -18.3%
15% -30.0% 8% -26.1%
20% -36.9% 7% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 455 history records