Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0162…6d0b
crypto · 56 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$25 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses36 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 52% -4.7%
≤30d 56 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 52% -4.7%
≤90d 56 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 52% -4.7%
all 56 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 52% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.4% 52% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -5.6% 36% -13.9%
15% -14.7% 27% -22.2%
20% -23.1% 18% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 132 history records