Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0179…adcd
sports · 197 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$2,283 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,283 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses130 / 67
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$1,056
Open positions0
Markets (closed)197 / 197
History coverage58d
Avg bet$529
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,144
7 days−$200
14 days−$212
30 days−$441
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 74¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27? No 70¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 80¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to Score No 64¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 61¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 62¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 83¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 51¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 84¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? No 68¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20? No 62¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Zagreb: Mili Poljicak vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Mili Poljicak 64¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Cristian Garin 72¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16? No 67¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Little Rock: Blaise Bicknell vs Bernard Tomic Blaise Bicknell 79¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Maximo Zeitune 80¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Luca Van Assche 64¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10? No 85¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 60¢ $513 $0 −$513 (-100%)
CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 Under 66¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-09? Yes 33¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Cincinnati Reds 68¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-27? No 64¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Alex de Minaur 79¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $519 −$513 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1,033 −$201 -20%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $401 +$183 +46%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $390 +$11 +3%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $635 +$30 +5%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $235 +$102 +44%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $478 +$110 +23%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $829 −$199 -24%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $135 +$78 +57%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $189 +$55 +29%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $733 −$733 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $176 +$13 +7%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $323 +$1 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $152 +$22 +14%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $626 +$107 +17%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $498 +$128 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $683 −$680 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $601 +$50 +8%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $503 +$121 +24%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $770 +$239 +31%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $635 +$134 +21%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $813 +$138 +17%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $144 −$143 -99%
ITF Decatur: Violeta Martinez vs Sara Daavettila Jun 10 $218 −$74 -34%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $186 −$185 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $274 +$129 +47%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $573 −$68 -12%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $304 +$74 +24%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $285 +$19 +7%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $302 +$101 +33%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $639 +$61 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $301 +$29 +10%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $247 +$109 +44%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $547 +$57 +10%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $358 +$39 +11%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $394 +$47 +12%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $330 +$28 +8%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $302 +$29 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $510 +$81 +16%
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5) Jun 09 $63 +$43 +68%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $171 +$49 +29%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $105 +$66 +63%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 08 $177 −$46 -26%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $840 −$226 -27%
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 08 $285 +$49 +17%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $835 −$14 -2%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $385 +$146 +38%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $529 +$83 +16%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $362 +$18 +5%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $343 +$25 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$2,406
other 4% +$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 59¢ $419 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 66¢ $100 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 53¢ $519 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 58¢ $584 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 99¢ $89 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 99¢ $495 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 67¢ $401 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 70¢ $36 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 58¢ $366 3h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 56¢ $390 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 99¢ $391 4h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 85¢ $337 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $235 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 98¢ $234 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 98¢ $234 14h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 98¢ $84 14h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 98¢ $151 14h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 90¢ $216 14h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 99¢ $56 14h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 99¢ $157 14h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 62¢ $135 15h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL Atlanta Dream 33¢ $135 15h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 61¢ $260 16h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 38¢ $260 16h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 50¢ $353 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $5 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $312 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $18 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $18 16h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +4.2% -5.7% 77% 52% -10.3%
≤30d 98 -6.8% -15.6% 67% 48% -11.2%
≤90d 197 -7.0% -15.9% 66% 51% -11.5%
all 197 -7.0% -15.9% 66% 51% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 51% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 31% -20.0%
15% -31.3% 14% -27.7%
20% -38.0% 6% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 557 history records