Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0182…301c
sports · 192 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,909 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,909 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,909
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses120 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$739
Open positions0
Markets (closed)209 / 192
History coverage26d
Avg bet$322
Trades / day134.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,101
7 days−$2,214
14 days−$2,205
30 days−$3,909
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Lisa Pigato 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5 Over 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds No 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Hugo Gaston 39¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Kansas City Royals 63¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-30? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus Marcos Giron 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 61¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur Francisco Cerundolo 72¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 86¢ 0¢ $689 $0 −$689 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papa Ryuki Matsuda 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexander Maarten Jong Alexander Maarten Jong 57¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw Jun 13 $14 −$70 -511%
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$5 -419%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $232 −$232 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus Jun 13 $17 −$19 -111%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$8 -440%
Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papa Jun 13 $2 −$901 -38768%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 13 $180 −$180 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Oeiras 4: Darwin Blanch vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 13 $227 −$235 -103%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $369 +$24 +6%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $455 −$1 -0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $9 +$2 +19%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $328 −$126 -38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$5 +88%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $50 +$14 +27%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $228 +$16 +7%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $302 −$298 -99%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $320 +$16 +5%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $121 +$36 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $98 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$20 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $161 +$2 +1%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $10 $0 -3%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $10 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $10 $0 -2%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $91 −$3 -4%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $351 −$139 -40%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $363 +$91 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -3%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $372 −$338 -91%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $798 +$36 +4%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5 Jun 06 $66 −$56 -85%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $279 +$59 +21%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $32 −$23 -72%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $10 +$1 +7%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $24 +$2 +7%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $65 +$25 +39%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $389 +$64 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$1,680
other 4% −$15
crypto 3% −$539
world 1% +$63
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $393 8m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 93¢ $369 16m
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 54¢ $6 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 56¢ $6 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 93¢ $11 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 77¢ $3 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 78¢ $2 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 78¢ $2 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 78¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 76¢ $1 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 4¢ $0 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $5 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $3 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 83¢ $79 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 84¢ $6 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 84¢ $8 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 83¢ $10 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 83¢ $6 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 84¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 84¢ $4 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 84¢ $5 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 85¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 85¢ $10 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 87¢ $4 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 55¢ $3 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 55¢ $3 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 46¢ $2 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 62¢ $2 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 60¢ $1 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 79¢ $366 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -35.4% -41.5% 39% 26% -25.8%
≤30d 209 -9.6% -18.2% 57% 36% -13.2%
≤90d 209 -9.6% -18.2% 57% 36% -13.2%
all 209 -9.6% -18.2% 57% 36% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover134.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 36% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 18% -21.5%
15% -33.2% 10% -29.1%
20% -39.7% 6% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records