Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:02:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x0194…f184 crypto 952 markets active 2d ago coverage 183d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$1,925 (-9%) realized −$1,925 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate75%718W / 234L
Whale WR20%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day11.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$232
14 days−$232
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,037
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -54.3% -58.7% 45% 0% -56.4%
≤30d 156 -4.6% -13.7% 65% 38% -6.9%
≤90d 476 -2.0% -11.4% 62% 53% -35.1%
all 952 -1.1% -10.5% 75% 35% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 35% -18.0%
10% -19.1% 33% -25.9%
15% -26.9% 28% -33.0%
20% -34.1% 22% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 20% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$19 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

183d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,925
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses718 / 234
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)952 / 952
History coverage183d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 952 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2862 history records