Wallet analysis — Alpha Desk

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days$0

7 days$0

14 days$0

30 days$0

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	Mar 01	$4,532,741	+$2,416,284	+53%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?	Mar 01	$21,488	+$9,654	+45%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?	Mar 01	$1,191,751	+$1,241,797	+104%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

other 100% +$3,667,734

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$7,920	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$32,662	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$3	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$249	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$6	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$80	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$163,649	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$9	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$6	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$14	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$32	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$25	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$4	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$2	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$72	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$2	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$6,443	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	66¢	$990,000	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$6,434	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$6,443	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$7,229	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$5,461	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$3,247	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$26,000	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$19	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$20,020	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$875	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$1,054	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$33	102d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY Yes	65¢	$9,177	102d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+51.5%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	no closed markets
≤30d	no closed markets
≤90d	no closed markets
all	3	+67.5%	+51.5%	100%	100%	+48.2%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover808.9 tr/day

realistic slip~18%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	+51.5%	100%	+48.2%
10%	+37.0%	100%	+34.0%
15% ← realistic here	+23.8%	100%	+21.1%
20%	+11.7%	67%	+9.2%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.