Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01a2…2bf7
crypto · 337 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$234 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$234 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$234
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses149 / 188
Open positions0
Markets (closed)337 / 337
History coverage141d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$845
14 days−$862
30 days−$843
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +63%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +173%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +266%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$12 +456%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +114%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$215
other 11% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -56.7% -60.9% 22% 22% -74.3%
≤30d 244 -47.1% -52.1% 27% 27% -64.4%
≤90d 258 -39.4% -45.2% 31% 31% -46.9%
all 337 -12.3% -20.7% 44% 44% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.7% 44% -18.3%
10% -28.2% 43% -26.1%
15% -35.2% 42% -33.2%
20% -41.5% 39% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1036 history records