trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$2 | -5% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $94 | −$6 | -7% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$1 | -8% |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $749 | −$41 | -5% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $167 | −$18 | -11% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $104 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $44 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 0% | 0% | -15.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 0% | 0% | -15.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 0% | 0% | -15.2% |
| all | 14 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 0% | 0% | -15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.2% | 0% | -15.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.2% | 0% | -23.3% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -37.5% |