Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:55:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01b2…0dcf
crypto · 106 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$827 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$827 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$827
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses40 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage141d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$511
7 days−$516
14 days+$1,640
30 days+$2,321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,500 on March 8? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$700 +1314%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$77 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$72 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$59 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$57 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$88 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $157 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$204 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$120 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $104 +$16 +16%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $159 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $105 −$100 -95%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $647 +$35 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 07 $53 −$53 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $2,600 +$1,321 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $100 −$95 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $53 +$113 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $50 −$47 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 04 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $53 +$1,929 +3611%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $105 +$256 +244%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 04 $602 −$60 -10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 03 $1,844 +$54 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 28 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 28 $106 +$446 +421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 28 $104 +$45 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 28 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $52 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 28 $102 −$50 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $104 +$71 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 71% −$718
crypto 29% +$1,545
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $753 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $282 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $205 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $106 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $53 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $53 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $175 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $117 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $46 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $60 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $106 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $293 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $205 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $53 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $107 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $209 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $93 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -13.3% -21.5% 29% 26% -15.8%
≤30d 80 +16.0% +5.0% 41% 36% +0.0%
≤90d 97 +9.9% -0.5% 40% 34% -6.8%
all 106 +5.4% -4.6% 38% 32% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 32% -9.0%
10% -13.7% 29% -17.7%
15% -22.1% 27% -25.7%
20% -29.7% 25% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 210 history records