Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:53:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01b4…fbdf
crypto · 142 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$95 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$200 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses30 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 142
History coverage25d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53
7 days−$180
14 days−$110
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$25 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$26 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$22 +425%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $14 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $11 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -48.0% -53.0% 16% 16% -50.5%
≤30d 142 -14.2% -22.3% 21% 20% -27.2%
≤90d 142 -14.2% -22.3% 21% 20% -27.2%
all 142 -14.2% -22.3% 21% 20% -27.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 20% -27.2%
10% -29.8% 20% -34.2%
15% -36.6% 19% -40.5%
20% -42.8% 18% -46.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 234 history records