trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 47% | 47% | -20.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 45% | 45% | -15.9% |
| all | 23 | +15.1% | +4.2% | 52% | 52% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.2% | 52% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -5.8% | 52% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -14.9% | 52% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -23.2% | 52% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $70 | $66 | −$4 (-6%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $34 | +$14 (+69%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $172 | −$170 | -99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $102 | +$142 | +140% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $51 | +$51 | +101% |
| Spread: Thailand (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 09 | $51 | +$44 | +86% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 07 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 07 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 06 | $51 | +$39 | +78% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $51 | +$45 | +90% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 29 | $30 | +$34 | +115% |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | Apr 16 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Apr 16 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 | Apr 16 | $30 | +$87 | +291% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Apr 16 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 15 | $9 | −$2 | -22% |
| Spread: Raptors (-7.5) | Mar 19 | $20 | +$21 | +104% |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Mar 19 | $20 | +$21 | +104% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) | Mar 19 | $30 | +$30 | +100% |