Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01c0…bd7c
world · 126 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,449 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,454 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$136
Realized−$7,454
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses71 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions29
Markets (closed)97 / 126
History coverage196d
Avg bet$668
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 29 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No 97¢ 100¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+3%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 81¢ 82¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 69¢ 78¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+12%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 32¢ 22¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-30%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 58¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+48%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 92¢ 98¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+7%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? No 94¢ 94¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Macron out by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 81¢ 82¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 88¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 93¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No 92¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 96¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 87¢ 88¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 87¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Trump out as President by June 30? Jun 11 $29 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? Jun 01 $14 $0 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 01 $22 $0 +1%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $88 +$1 +1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $2 $0 +3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 29 $1 $0 -44%
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? May 28 $2 $0 +6%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 27 $4 $0 -4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 23 $1 −$1 -76%
Netanyahu out by May 31? May 22 $7 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? May 20 $1 $0 +7%
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 20 $9 +$2 +21%
Trump out as President by May 31? May 18 $12 $0 +0%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $2 $0 +2%
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? May 15 $2 $0 +15%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? May 15 $2 $0 +1%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 13 $4 $0 +8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? May 12 $2 −$2 -91%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? May 11 $7 −$6 -98%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? May 10 $1 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? May 10 $4 $0 +0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 10 $5 $0 +1%
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? May 10 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Apr 30 $2 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 30 $2 $0 +1%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Apr 30 $2 $0 +1%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Apr 28 $2 $0 +2%
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 19 $2 $0 +1%
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease? Apr 19 $2 $0 +1%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Apr 19 $2 $0 +4%
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Apr 19 $2 $0 +4%
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? Apr 19 $3 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? Apr 19 $3 $0 +0%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Apr 19 $3 $0 +2%
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? Apr 19 $4 $0 +3%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 mil Apr 19 $4 $0 +7%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Apr 19 $10 $0 +3%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? Feb 06 $3 $0 +1%
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Y Feb 06 $3 $0 +5%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? Feb 06 $2 $0 -9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 06 $2 $0 -2%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 29 $2 $0 +1%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open? Jan 29 $2 $0 +1%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 29 $2 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026 Jan 29 $3 $0 +1%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 29 $4 $0 +1%
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Ye Jan 19 $2 $0 +4%
Rockets vs. Kings Jan 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025? Jan 18 $266 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$7,450
culture 1% +$1
world 1% −$8
other 0% +$3
politics 0% +$3
economics 0% $0
sports 0% −$2
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $3 25m
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $1 45m
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $0 55m
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $0 1h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $0 1h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $0 1h
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 17 -10.4% -18.9% 65% 12% -9.1%
≤90d 38 -8.9% -17.6% 79% 5% -10.7%
all 97 -5.2% -14.3% 73% 7% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 7% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 0% -25.5%
15% -30.0% 0% -32.7%
20% -36.8% 0% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.89 · official $135.54 (match) · 1823 history records