Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T22:54:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x01df…0645 crypto 13 markets active 13h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$48 (-8%) realized −$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate54%7W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -10.1% -18.7% 54% 46% -21.8%
≤30d 13 -10.1% -18.7% 54% 46% -21.8%
≤90d 13 -10.1% -18.7% 54% 46% -21.8%
all 13 -10.1% -18.7% 54% 46% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 46% -21.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 46% -29.3%
15% -33.6% 31% -36.1%
20% -40.1% 15% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 50% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$34 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses7 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $127 −$127 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $140 −$13 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 22 $106 +$34 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 22 $57 +$27 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 22 $62 +$22 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 22 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$19 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $127 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $127 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $140 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $140 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $106 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $84 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $57 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $83 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $62 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $16 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $35 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $22 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 0¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 0¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records