Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01e1…e40a
sports · 70 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$2 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses25 / 41
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)66 / 70
History coverage387d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+42%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Over 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Quevedo vs. Samson: Match O/U 22.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Brancaccio vs. Bronzetti: Match O/U 22.5 Under 57¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on May 23? Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Over 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 23? Up 73¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Over 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Gainare Tottori: Both Teams to Score No 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 8? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 22? No 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Japan vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 8? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 -5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $22 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? Jun 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 1 China PR? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -93%
China PR leading at halftime? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +93%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 Jun 04 $8 +$7 +90%
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 Jun 04 $11 +$11 +99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 04 $4 −$3 -67%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 03 $3 $0 -7%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 +$1 +89%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5 May 31 $5 +$1 +20%
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 May 31 $8 −$3 -37%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Singapore vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Japan vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Gainare Tottori: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5 May 31 $3 $0 +15%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5 May 31 $4 −$2 -55%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5 May 31 $5 +$2 +30%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 May 31 $13 +$7 +56%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 31 $1 +$6 +595%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5 May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners May 31 $4 +$3 +65%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 31 $8 +$7 +90%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $7 −$4 -59%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $4 $0 -1%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? May 30 $7 −$1 -7%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 30 $3 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 30 $2 −$1 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $36 +$31 +86%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Apr 19 $2 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 1 Apr 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9? Apr 09 $1 +$1 +102%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 8? Apr 09 $1 +$2 +193%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 38% +$16
other 33% +$14
crypto 19% −$17
weather 11% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brancaccio vs. Bronzetti: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 1h
Quevedo vs. Samson: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 12h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 14h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 50¢ $1 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $1 28h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 BUY Over 54¢ $1 35h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 36h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 36h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 73¢ $1 36h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 81¢ $1 36h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 76¢ $1 36h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 74¢ $1 36h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 77¢ $1 36h
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? SELL Yes 93¢ $22 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 7d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 96¢ $20 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 1 China PR? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 7d
China PR leading at halftime? SELL Yes 83¢ $2 7d
China PR leading at halftime? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 7d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 7d
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 1 China PR? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -15.9% -23.9% 56% 56% -32.8%
≤30d 44 -17.9% -25.8% 39% 36% -10.8%
≤90d 59 -15.4% -23.4% 39% 36% -2.7%
all 66 -17.5% -25.3% 38% 35% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.3% 35% -8.8%
10% -32.5% 30% -17.5%
15% -39.0% 21% -25.5%
20% -45.0% 18% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.26 · official $4.26 (match) · 130 history records