Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:18:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x01fb…03d8 crypto 1335 markets active 7d ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (308 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$123 (+0%) realized +$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate65%863W / 472L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day308.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$431
14 days−$812
30 days−$812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$812
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (308 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -27.8% -34.6% 33% 33% -45.5%
≤30d 1335 -2.6% -11.8% 65% 65% -11.6%
≤90d 1335 -2.6% -11.8% 65% 65% -11.6%
all 1335 -2.6% -11.8% 65% 65% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover308.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 65% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 64% -20.1%
15% -28.0% 55% -27.8%
20% -35.0% 31% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$25 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses863 / 472
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1335 / 1335
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day308.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1335 Trades
no open positions (298 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $56 +$80 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $142 −$136 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $204 −$195 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $118 −$113 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$24 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $71 −$68 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $157 −$149 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $222 +$235 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $61 −$59 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$65 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $61 −$59 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$18 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$7 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$20 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $103 +$63 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $103 −$27 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $70 +$31 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$3 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$7 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$10 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $61 −$60 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $35 −$34 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $38 −$36 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$14 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$2 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$19 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $77 −$75 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $28 +$155 +546%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records