Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0209…2f35
crypto · 2019 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$346 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$11
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1386 / 557
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1943 / 2019
History coverage20d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day108.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1943 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$36
14 days+$38
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 63¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 59¢ 53¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -414%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -288%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2269%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -150%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -900%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 26? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -560%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 20? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -3512%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -845%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -112%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$84
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 964 +1.8% -7.9% 73% 69% -11.3%
≤30d 1943 +1.5% -8.1% 71% 68% -9.5%
≤90d 1943 +1.5% -8.1% 71% 68% -9.5%
all 1943 +1.5% -8.1% 71% 68% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 68% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 60% -18.2%
15% -25.0% 42% -26.1%
20% -32.3% 21% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.80 · official $3.13 (match) · 3500 history records