trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 42% | 42% | -28.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +36.4% | +23.4% | 45% | 45% | -18.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +43.6% | +29.9% | 50% | 50% | +9.7% |
| all | 26 | +43.6% | +29.9% | 50% | 50% | +9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.9% | 50% | +9.7% |
| 10% | +17.5% | 50% | -0.8% |
| 15% | +6.1% | 50% | -10.4% |
| 20% | -4.3% | 42% | -19.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 78¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 28¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 84¢ | 88¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 82¢ | 78¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 29¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-19%) |
| Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 44¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $2 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$3 | +262% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +73% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +307% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +325% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$7 | +649% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | May 01 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | May 01 | $5 | +$14 | +288% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March? | Apr 01 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |