Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x023d…23ac
sports · 1174 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,108 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses774 / 400
Est. fees paid−$273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1174 / 1174
History coverage94d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day29.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$27
14 days−$62
30 days−$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs Leo Team 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 71¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-14? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Yi Zhou 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Li Tu 64¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Cristian Garin 86¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Copa Colsanitas: Selena Janicijevic vs Julia Riera Selena Janicijevic 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom Charles Broom 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn Ethan Quinn 21¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Shuai Zhang Beatriz Haddad Maia 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Miami Open: Emerson Jones vs Linda Fruhvirtova Linda Fruhvirtova 62¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Charles Broom Buvaysar Gadamauri 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov Harry Wendelken 71¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxl Cristian Garin 70¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 67¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borges Nuno Borges 48¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Moez Echargui Moez Echargui 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs FlyQuest 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Emerson Jones 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Mei Yamaguchi 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskaya Anna Kalinskaya 26¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $14 +$14 +101%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $26 −$24 -89%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 +$6 +32%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $22 −$22 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $11 +$10 +93%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $17 −$12 -67%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $18 −$15 -83%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $26 +$4 +17%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $15 −$4 -28%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $10 +$5 +54%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $7 +$8 +114%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $11 +$6 +51%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $7 +$4 +55%
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Jun 11 $16 −$4 -27%
ITF Zagreb: Dalila Jakupovic vs Amarissa Kiara Toth Jun 11 $11 +$20 +177%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $24 +$27 +111%
ITF Nice: Berfu Cengiz vs Oana Georgeta Simion Jun 11 $26 +$12 +47%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Rositsa Dencheva Jun 11 $8 +$4 +49%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Nada Fouad Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $10 −$10 -95%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 10 $29 −$29 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $19 +$5 +26%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $15 +$9 +58%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $12 +$3 +24%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $3 +$3 +95%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $12 +$3 +24%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $14 −$10 -74%
ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
ITF Martos: Mustapha El Natour vs Esteban Talavera Cortes Jun 10 $10 +$7 +65%
ITF Hurghada: Aya El Sayed vs Sara Milanese Jun 10 $28 −$28 -99%
ITF Wuning: Hanna Chang vs Reina Goto Jun 10 $21 +$7 +33%
ITF Wuning: Junhan Zhang vs Yufei Ren Jun 10 $14 +$7 +50%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 09 $27 −$13 -49%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $5 −$4 -80%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $5 +$1 +14%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $19 +$6 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $18 +$6 +34%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Jun 09 $14 +$4 +29%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $8 +$6 +73%
ITF Zagreb: Laura Mair vs Alice Rame Jun 09 $41 +$8 +18%
Lyon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dali Blanch Jun 09 $26 +$15 +59%
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Jun 09 $20 +$6 +30%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejon Jun 09 $16 +$4 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$897
other 2% −$211
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 100¢ $29 46m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 49¢ $14 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 39¢ $12 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 7¢ $0 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 5¢ $3 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 44¢ $26 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 100¢ $26 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 75¢ $20 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 66¢ $22 3h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 100¢ $22 3h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 51¢ $11 3h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf SELL Noah Schlagenhauf 23¢ $1 3h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Noah Schlagenhauf 75¢ $4 4h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf SELL Henry Bernet 25¢ $4 4h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 70¢ $10 4h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 77¢ $3 4h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL Dali Blanch 13¢ $3 4h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 74¢ $18 5h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Yujia Huang 55¢ $10 6h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Varvara Panshina 30¢ $12 6h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Yujia Huang 55¢ $12 7h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Yujia Huang 70¢ $16 7h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika SELL Kayo Nishimura 100¢ $16 8h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $8 8h
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li BUY Mei Yamaguchi 22¢ $3 8h
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa SELL Eri Shimizu 21¢ $11 8h
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa BUY Eri Shimizu 28¢ $15 8h
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa SELL Clara Burel 100¢ $16 20h
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa BUY Clara Burel 64¢ $10 21h
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz SELL Gina Marie Dittmann 100¢ $10 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +4.4% -5.5% 70% 65% -11.6%
≤30d 328 +2.4% -7.3% 73% 65% -12.5%
≤90d 1123 -0.8% -10.2% 67% 54% -10.9%
all 1174 -1.7% -11.1% 66% 54% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 54% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 36% -19.8%
15% -27.4% 23% -27.6%
20% -34.5% 14% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2814 history records