Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:39:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x0243…fd45 sports 85 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$128 (-0%) realized −$128 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%81W / 4L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$1,211per market
Trades / day57.0pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit78%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$57
14 days+$72
30 days+$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 86% +$120
other 14% +$14
world 0% +$1
crypto 0% −$5
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 76 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -9.4%
≤90d 85 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -9.4%
all 85 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 5% -9.4%
10% -18.2% 2% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.1% 2% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$1,388) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
20.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×10.5 per $1 lost it wins $10.5
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses81 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$1,211
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit78%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 Jun 23 $13,387 +$14 +0%
StarCraft II: Cure vs sOs - Map 1 Winner Jun 22 $11,667 +$13 +0%
Spread: Notts County FC (-2.5) Jun 22 $77 $0 +0%
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $82 $0 +0%
Duncan/Ribero vs. Bianchi/Sheehy: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $1,446 +$1 +0%
ITF Gaborone: Tanisha Kashyap vs D'Estree Colalancia Jun 16 $2,143 +$2 +0%
Roland Garros WTA: Completed Match: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Jun 16 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Norrie vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Set Handicap: Cecchinato (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5) Jun 16 $2,187 +$2 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 16 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5) Jun 16 $2,365 +$2 +0%
Kraus vs. Akugue: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $2,251 +$2 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? Jun 16 $2,268 +$2 +0%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Completed Match: Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 16 $2,146 +$2 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 16 $2,133 +$2 +0%
ITF Women Estepona: Completed Match: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Zuzann Jun 16 $2,317 +$2 +0%
ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja: Completed Match: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Jun 16 $1,388 +$1 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 16 $2,012 +$2 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 16 $1,440 +$1 +0%
ITF Klagenfurt: Dominik Recek vs Justas Trainauskas Jun 16 $2,747 +$3 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 16 $528 +$1 +0%
ITF Men Doboj: Completed Match: Gilberto Ravasio vs John Hallquist Lit Jun 16 $718 +$1 +0%
ITF Women Gaborone: Completed Match: Abigayel Vosloo vs Leilany Ipunes Jun 16 $472 $0 +0%
Duncan/Ribero vs. Bianchi/Sheehy: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $319 $0 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 16 $370 $0 +0%
Kraus vs. Akugue: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $293 $0 +0%
Duncan/Ribero vs. Bianchi/Sheehy: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $314 $0 +0%
ITF Women Gaborone: Completed Match: Tanisha Kashyap vs D'Estree Colal Jun 16 $346 $0 +0%
Kraus vs. Akugue: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $269 $0 +0%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Katarina Kujovic Jun 15 $1,354 +$1 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Kraus vs Akugue Jun 12 $104 $0 +0%
ITF Estepona: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska Jun 12 $986 +$1 +0%
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026? Jun 10 $812 +$1 +0%
ITF Changwon: Dayeon Back vs Su Jeong Jang Jun 09 $8 +$6 +75%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $85 $0 +0%
Norrie vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $209 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Jun 07 $696 +$1 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? Jun 07 $361 $0 +0%
Friedsam vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 07 $589 +$1 +0%
ITF Men Klagenfurt: Completed Match: Dominik Recek vs Justas Trainausk Jun 07 $338 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Friedsam (+1.5) Jun 07 $196 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 07 $300 $0 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 07 $286 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? Jun 07 $304 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? Jun 07 $364 $0 +0%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 07 $269 $0 +0%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $295 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Evo Novo vs WAZABI - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $138 $0 +0%
ITF Gaborone: Abigayel Vosloo vs Leilany Ipunesso Jun 06 $796 +$6 +1%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 06 $289 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $70 9m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $70 10m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $84 11m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $13 11m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 12m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 12m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 13m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 14m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 15m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 15m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 16m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $62 17m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 17m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 18m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 19m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 19m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $93 20m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 21m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 22m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 22m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 23m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 23m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 24m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $18 25m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 25m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 26m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 26m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 27m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 28m
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 100¢ $98 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records