Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:51:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0253…7b2c
crypto · 690 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,644 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,644 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,644
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses287 / 567
Open positions0
Markets (closed)854 / 690
History coverage78d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,846
7 days−$3,026
14 days−$2,850
30 days−$2,850
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$13 -626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$9 -453%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$16 -800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$12 -591%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$11 -562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$19 -895%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$14 -655%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$16 -755%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$840
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-35.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 292 -66.4% -69.6% 11% 11% -86.0%
≤30d 305 -61.7% -65.3% 12% 12% -75.1%
≤90d 854 -29.1% -35.9% 34% 33% -32.6%
all 854 -29.1% -35.9% 34% 33% -32.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.9% 33% -32.6%
10% ← realistic here -42.0% 32% -39.1%
15% -47.6% 30% -44.9%
20% -52.7% 28% -50.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records