Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0257…22b2
sports · 311 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40,633 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40,894 · open +$260
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,186
Realized−$40,894
Unrealized+$260
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses159 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$9,250
Open positions3
Markets (closed)309 / 311
History coverage35d
Avg bet$1,562
Trades / day93.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 309 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,028
7 days−$15,916
14 days−$28,681
30 days−$39,610
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 45¢ 50¢ $1,575 $1,767 +$192 (+12%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 17¢ 22¢ $226 $301 +$76 (+33%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $125 $117 −$8 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,430 +$449 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,662 −$2,377 -89%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,289 +$231 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,440 +$400 +28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,413 +$389 +28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,220 +$100 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,460 +$354 +24%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $746 −$302 -40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,282 −$1,282 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,131 −$1,131 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $834 −$776 -93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,920 −$409 -14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $574 −$574 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,672 +$1,050 +63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,115 −$665 -60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,588 −$96 -4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,941 −$84 -4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2,090 −$1,293 -62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,600 −$2,600 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,762 +$8 +0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,960 +$199 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,440 +$1,404 +58%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,582 +$998 +63%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $297 +$23 +8%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $836 +$413 +49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,446 −$455 -19%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $430 −$77 -18%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $866 +$196 +23%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $3,968 +$1,777 +45%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $1,484 +$916 +62%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $707 −$363 -51%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,851 −$282 -15%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,095 −$744 -68%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $1,057 +$314 +30%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2,230 −$2,230 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,115 −$1,115 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $461 −$461 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,941 −$1,941 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5,848 −$373 -6%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $467 −$159 -34%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,118 −$483 -43%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $1,115 +$56 +5%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,214 +$642 +53%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2,511 −$575 -23%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $2,645 +$1,006 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,000 −$387 -39%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,283 −$1,978 -60%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,166 −$2,166 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,919 +$116 +3%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,930 −$411 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$40,233
other 1% −$400
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $549 56m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $5 56m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $1,031 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $48 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $5 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $400 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $70 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $100 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $3 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 96¢ $664 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 81¢ $2,430 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 76¢ $1,287 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 76¢ $224 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 76¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 64¢ $456 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 64¢ $833 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $1,000 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $511 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -22.7% -30.1% 40% 28% -25.0%
≤30d 237 -11.7% -20.1% 50% 43% -19.0%
≤90d 309 -5.5% -14.5% 51% 45% -17.2%
all 309 -5.5% -14.5% 51% 45% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 45% -17.2%
10% -22.7% 39% -25.1%
15% ← realistic here -30.1% 28% -32.3%
20% -37.0% 19% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,185.71 · official $2,185.71 (match) · 3500 history records